35 Comments

David, the Royals have given up on the first of the 2018 pitcher drafts in Kowar. The only pitchers have from that draft to have only a scent of success in the majors would be Singer and possibly Lynch. I hope Wright is able to come back in 2025!

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founding

"Unless you need a roster spot this second, there’s no real reason to non-tender a pre-arbitration eligible player. "

Kinda, it allows you to get a guy off the 40-man roster without exposing him to waivers, then sign them to a minor league deal, like they did with Cox, Hernandez and Porter. If you don't do it now, you'll have to expose him to waivers later.

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I thought the Kowar deal was actually pretty good. Risky, yes, but let's be honest, at this point no one has any confidence that Kowar was ever going to be able to put things together for KC. I think even Kowar has lost all confidence in himself as a Royals pitcher. A change of scenery can't hurt him, and might help him. But, I don't think anyone was of the belief any more that Kowar was going to be successful in KC. Given that, we get someone who actually has had some really good success at the Major League level. Someone who absolutely knows how to pitch at this level. Yes, we have to wait a year to see the benefit, and yes, he may not make it back. But, this was definitely worth the risk as we gave up someone we no longer believed in.

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Decent so far, but still waiting for something more substantial. Happy Thanksgiving to you and yours, David.

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I had the same idea regarding Woodruff when I read about his situation. From a game theory perspective, these are absolutely the kinds of chances the Royals need to take - not exactly lottery tickets, but medium risk, potentially high return bets.

With the Royals' limited resources, the only way they can ever get to the top of the heap is to get lucky. The skill comes in maximizing the upside and limiting the downside. They got lucky when they dealt Zack to Milwaukee and got the guys who turned out to be the major league versions of Lorenzo Cain and Alcides Escobar. They got lucky when they traded for James Shields and got the best relief pitcher in baseball as a bonus. They undoubtedly knew they liked all of those guys and were happy to get them but none was a sure thing. They can't afford to only make deals for sure things, because sure things are too expensive (and aren't ever sure things, anyway).

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Thanks for the continued off-season content, David. With the obvious caveat that the entire league is moving slowly with free agency so far, do you think that the Royals may be trying to get a BWJ extension done first? It would make some sense to me since 1) You would then know the numbers to set the rest of your payroll budget, and 2) It could make attracting other free agents slightly easier and without quite as much of a "bad team" tax if they know Bobby is here for awhile. May be nothing there, but curious if you have any thoughts on that? And Happy Thanksgiving to everyone!

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Impressed to see Picollo, a guy who might be on the hot seat, make a long term deal with no short term benefit. He's been good at being transactional!

One weird question... Do these deals have anything to do with the Nicky Lopez deal at the deadline? Like, were they both or was one of them some sort of handshake agreement to be completed after the season? Idk, if there's any benefit to either side to structure it that way.

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Ragans, Woodruff & Wright has a ring to it. I hope they go for it.

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Surprised to see how little Wright is gonna make. I liked the deal already, but I friggin' love it now.

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I think trading Kowar was the right decision given where he is at. Two years of Wright is a solid return....that said what a damning indictment of the Royals development system! What a joke, the kid was rushed and frankly was clueless out there on the mound. This team will stall out if it doesn't get the right people in place in the minor system.... I suggest they spend 10 million dollars on personal coaches for every minor leaguer before they sign another free agent who has already played their best baseball.... does anyone track the spending by team on their minor league systems? I remember when the Royals had thier own academy.... I think it produced Frank White and John Wathan... the Royals need to invest big in the minors to get an edge....the edge that they can't get at the big league level anymore....remember 1992 when they had the high payroll in MLB?

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But whether it worked or not doesn't matter....they can't play at that table anymore even if they want to... so need to find another way to compete...the only way I can see forward is investing in the minors?

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Well said.

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Its a results based buisness... and I am waiting patintly for some from this group. But, come on Mr. Sherman throw more money at it! I have heard for 45 years about the Dodgers minor league development system...which just cranks baby! why not replicate it....

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